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  • Writer's pictureGeorge Whitaker

Are We Overestimating How Bad Things Will Really Make Us Feel?

Do you ever find yourself imagining the worst-case scenario, only to realise it wasn't as earth-shattering as you expected?


That's the impact bias at play, making us believe that future events will hit us like a tonne of bricks when, in reality, they might only feel like a light breeze.


Let's dive into this fascinating quirk of human psychology and shed some light on the misconceptions we often fall prey to.



The Impact Bias Demystified


Picture this: you have a big presentation at work coming up. Your heart races, palms sweat, and your mind starts conjuring up catastrophic outcomes. But guess what? Once the presentation is over, you feel a sense of relief rather than the overwhelming dread you anticipated. That's the impact bias tricking you into overestimating the emotional turmoil you'll endure.



A person presenting in front of a whiteboard at work
An upcoming presentation in work could have us expecting the worst


The impact bias stems from our inability to accurately predict how events will affect our emotional state. We tend to magnify the intensity and duration of our feelings, leading to unnecessary stress and anxiety before the actual event even occurs. It's like watching a horror movie trailer and bracing yourself for a fright-fest, only to realise it was more of a mild thriller in the end.



Why Do We Fall for It?


So, why are we overestimating how bad things will really make us feel?


Our brains are wired to seek certainty and avoid discomfort. When faced with uncertainty, we tend to amplify the potential negative consequences to prepare ourselves for the worst. This survival mechanism worked wonders back when we were dodging predators in the wild but can lead to unnecessary distress in our modern, less life-threatening predicaments.


Imagine waiting for exam results or a reply to a heartfelt message. Your mind races through all the worst-case scenarios, magnifying potential negative outcomes. However, once the results are in, you find yourself breathing a sigh of relief because reality didn't match the catastrophic scenarios your mind had painted.


An illustration representing exaggerated emotional reactions
Our mind can often imagine a terrible future outcome, which very rarely comes true

Breaking the Bias


Now that we understand the impact bias, how can we combat it?


Awareness is key.


By recognising that our predictions of emotional reactions are often exaggerated, we can start challenging those perceptions. Instead of spiralling into a whirlwind of anxiety over future events, we can remind ourselves that things may not be as dire as we imagine.


Practicing mindfulness and staying grounded in the present moment can also help us combat the impact bias. By focusing on the here and now, we can prevent our minds from running wild with exaggerated expectations of future emotions.



Final Thoughts


The next time you catch yourself catastrophising about an upcoming event, remember the impact bias. Our minds have a sneaky way of amplifying emotional responses, but by acknowledging this tendency, we can take back control. So, buckle up, embrace the uncertainty, and remember that things might not be as bad as they seem in our overactive imaginations.


Let's navigate the twists and turns of our emotional rides with a newfound awareness of the impact bias, debunking the myth of exaggerated emotional reactions one revelation at a time!



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